Sunday, December 15, 2024

What are the biggest threats to democracy in Western nations today?

My answer in Quora.

Here are ten (not in any order)

  1. Corruption of Key Institutions by ideologues
  2. Two-tiered policing
  3. Cancel Culture/Rampant Restrictions on Freedom of Speech
  4. A media Industrial complex beholden to the power elites that spin stories around specific narratives
  5. Election Fraud
  6. Falling standards in public education
  7. Equality of Outcome superseding Equality of Opportunity
  8. Lax border laws leading to uncontrolled illegal immigration
  9. Politically motivated District Attorneys
  10. An overly regulated economy.

Monday, December 9, 2024

A Reading List of Jewish Books that I have read with my Rankings

 Judaism (B and above are all worth reading in my opinion)

  1. Traces of God – Neil Gillman (B-)
  2. Permission to Believe – Keleman (B+)
  3. Why Faith Matters – Wolpe (B)
  4. Soul Prints – Gafni (B)
  5. God is a verb – Cooper (B+)
  6. DNA & Tradition – Kleiman (B+)
  7. Beyond a Reasonable Doubt – Waldman (C+)
  8. Nine Questions People Ask about Judaism – Prager/Telushkin (A)
  9. Fingerprints on the Universe – Pollack (B+)
  10. I Asked for Wonder – Heschel (A-)
  11. The Aryeh Kaplan Anthology – Kaplan (A-)
  12. Immortality, Resurrection and the Age of the Universe – Kaplan (B+)
  13. The Path of G-d – Luzzato (A-)
  14. Endless Light Kabbalah – Aaron (B+)
  15. Inviting God In – Aaron (B)
  16. Discovering the Divine Within You – Aaron (A)
  17. Kabbalah Inspirations – Rosen (B+)
  18. Life’s Daily Blessings – Olitzky (B+)
  19. More Answers to Questions of the Spirit – Bulka (B+)
  20. The Hidden Face in God – Schroeder (B)
  21. Ten Commandments of Character – Telushkin (B+)
  22. Everyday Holiness (Path of Mussar) – Morinis  (B-)
  23. John Lennon and the Jews  - Maghen (B+)
  24. The God Upgrade – Korngold (B-)
  25. Climbing Jacob’s Ladder – Morinis (B-)
  26. Seeing God: Ten Life Changing Lessons of the Kabbalah – Aaron (A)
  27. Finding God : Ten Jewish Responses – Sonsino & Syme (A-)
  28. Why the Jews? The Reason for Antisemitism – Telushkin & Prager (A)
  29. Genesis and the Big Bang – Schroeder (B)
  30. We Have Reason to Believe  - Jacobs (B+)

Saturday, December 7, 2024

On Empathy

I was once involvedin an online discussion on empathy. One of the participants, who is a teacher like myself, argued that one need not understand another's circumstances only their emotions. It is this understanding of emotion, in his opinion, that is ultimately what defines empathy and what will eventually assist the teacher in reaching at-risk learners. While his raw words have an obvious appeal I couldn't help but wonder if the burden that this places on a teacher is too excessive.

Understanding emotions is complex at the best of times and is rarely dealt with in pedagogic literature. Yes, psychology and to some extent sociology broach on these themes but as a teacher I am not sure whether I am equipped to even enter such a realm which seems more the preserve of a social worker than anything else.

Yet in self-reflecting on this point, I started to wonder if I was not making excuses for my own shortcomings. Was I too afraid to venture into this area? Or when it comes down to it, have I limited my own sense of self?

Is this emotional aspect of empathy something we are born with or is it a learned action cultivated by internalized behaviourism? My belief is that it is somehow a mixture of both. There are some who have the potential to emotionally deliver 'more' (or at least what appears to be more) whilst others fall short of the mark. This quality of the former is certainly a valuable tool as so much of teaching is about the human element. Either way I believe that a portion of the skill can be learnt systematically. Maybe this is the route that I need to take.

I am however not sold on the idea that emotional understanding is the sole basis of empathy. I fear that a wholesale capitualtion to this philosophy will detract from the rationality of teaching so what I seek is a better understanding of what empathy truly is ie. its full conglomerate of aspects.

In practice I will continue to choose to extend my sense of self on a conscious level . I will teach with the expectation that my students need to understand. While I believe in the excitement of learning and the joy of transferred insight I will resist the temptation to drown myself in emotional based education. Based on experience this is the most reasonable pathway for me to take. It could change over time as I learn more about the 'Emotional Empathy Factor' but like any new adaptation to a philosophy is best implemented with thoughtful caution.

From the Archives II - The Failed Obama Nuclear Deal.

 It was a bad idea then and thankfully it has failed. I wrote the following ten points at the time of its proposal.

10 Reasons why the Iranian Nuclear Deal is Awful

1. It leaves Iran’s centrifuge refining structure in place
2. It does nothing to remove Uranium stockpiles in Iran
3. In 10-15 years Iran will be free to do as they please on a Nuclear Level.
4. Has no way to control illicit underground nuclear refinement processes.
5. Lifts Sanctions for promises that can be easily broken. Will result in a large inflow of capital that will embolden Iran as a power player and meddler in the region.
6. Does not put pressure on Iran over her funding of terrorist groups in Lebanon (Hezbollah), Gaza (Hamas), Yemen as well as its complicity in Syria’s genocide regime.
7. Does not pressure Iran with respect to the treatment of women, gays the Bahais and other minorities.
8. Will encourage Sunni regimes to develop nuclear infrastructure
9. Does not address the belligerency of language and deed that Iran uses against Israel
10. It fails to address Iran’s development of long range ICBM development


And Most of all it does nothing to help the mainstream DEMOCRACY MOVEMENT in this once proud nation.


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From the Archives I - Death of Hugo Chavez

 I wrote this March 2013. Unfortunately Venezuela is still a country in bad shape. Maduro is not an improvement on Chavez who was terrible.

One shouldn't celebrate the death of another human being but I for one shall not shed a tear for this passing of this South American demagogue. Chavez destroyed his country's economy, cavorted with the vile Iranian leadership, committed himself to a philosophy of anti-Semitism and greatly curtailed freedom of speech in Venezuela. While admired by many on the left (the usual voices who continue to show affection for Mao, Castro and Che) Chavez represented a regional menace who used simplistic populism to boost his status with the poorest of the nation while championing a statism that has ruined many an economy elsewhere. He should not be missed but I am not optimistic that his successor will curb the folly's of Chavez's realized egoism. We will wait and see.


Reflections XIII - Further notes from the Sanity Divide

Numbers matter most to education bureaucrats. This is why they are not afraid to drop the standards to the lowest level possible so that even the weakest can scale the minimum bar.

 The substitution of race for class was the greatest sleight of hand orchestrated the radical left. In this way they reduced themselves from an earlier failed collectivist policy while convincing the people that they had changed their ways. The lie was baked in.

 It is really disturbing when one realizes how deceit has been such a powerful tool in human evolutionary survival.

 Intelligence isn’t always a guide for good judgement for an intelligent person can just as easily rationalize bad ideas than their far better alternatives.

When societies are in decline there will be a proliferation of bad ideas. One already sees this on both the right and the left.

 What modern globalism shares with International socialism and the various Marxist spinoffs is a vaunted and misshapen belief in its own moral superiority that requires no criticism.

Monday, December 2, 2024

Personal Area of Interest II - French History

French History

Like British history I developed an interest in the French variety from a young age. A great deal of my early passionwas motivated by the reality that much of French history is entangled with her rival across the Channel. This is especially true of the Middle Ages with both the early Norman and Plantagenet dynasties overlapping with Gallic ambitions on the continent.

Areas of Primary focus: The French Revolution, Napoleon, the post Bonaparte Era, the French Empire and the Third Republic

Areas of Secondary Focus:  Charlemagne and the Carolingians and the Reign of Louis XIV.

What I feel I need to know more about: The Valois Kings, France between the World Wars

These are the Eleven Period that I divide French history into:

1.       The Gaulish struggles versus Rome

2.       The Frank Invasion and the Merovingians

3.       Charlemagne and the Carolingians

4.       The Capetian dynasty and the Crusades

5.        The Hundred Years War and the Rise of the House of Valois

6.       Religious struggles in France

7.       The Rise of the House of Bourbon – Louis XIV

8.       The French Revolution and the Bonaparte Era

9.       Turbulence in the 19th century. The Second Empire and the Third Republic.

10.   France and the World Wars.

11.   The Decline of France and the challenges of the 5th Republic in the post-Colonial era

Personal Area of Interest I - British History

British History

I have been an avid reader of British history since I was a child. Look and Learn, the Hamlyn/Collins publications and my father’s enthusiasm for the subject were driving factors. Even to this day I have ingrained in my mind the exact order of the English/British monarch from Edward the Confessor onwards (as well as the PMs since Disraeli).

Areas of Primary focus: The British Empire (especially in Africa), the Monarchial succession, the Anglo-Scottish Wars, Tudors and Stewarts and the English Civil War.

Areas of Secondary Focus: The Norman Conquest, Hundred Years War, Royal Navy, Winston Churchill and the Crimean War.

What I feel I need to know more about: The details of the Irish fight for Independence, War of the Roses and the David Lloyd George Prime Ministership.

These are the Ten Period that I divide British/English history into:

1.       The Celtic Era and Roman Britain

2.       Saxon Domination

3.       The Norman Conquest and the French Kings. Feudalism.

4.       The Rise of the Tudors and the Decline of Catholicism.

5.       Unification, the Stuarts and the English Civil War

6.       Restoration and the Emergence of the House of Hanover.

7.       The Early Empire and Parliament in the Age of the Enlightenment

8.       Period of Splendid Isolation

9.       Internationalism and WWI

10.   WWII and the Decline of Modern Britain

Saturday, November 30, 2024

Polling Heuristrics

There is no fool proof methodology for looking at Polls but in the US elections I find that the following heuristics, that I employed successfully for Election 2024, has utility.

  1. Use poll averages such as the Real Clear Politics (RCP) Average as opposed to a single poll to make a judgement call. Add 2% to the RCP average for GOP candidates as the polls routinely under sample Republicans. Polls also appear to over sample urban voters.
  2. Ignore polls taken a few days before an election. Many of these are push polls with questionable metrics.
  3. Presidential approval and disapproval polls are as a rule better indicators than polls that ask one to choose a specific candidate.
  4. Economic metrics are the single best predictor of election results. However don’t fall for the trap of the official metrics. The question here that most MATTERS is… What does the average person feel/think about the economy?
  5. Polling questions about the direction that a country is moving in (good or bad?) are also great indicators of election results.
  6. Don’t fall for talking heads who tell you that the election is done (one way or another) after a single event. In times they routinely walk these back.
  7. Polls taken after a debate generally don’t hold up in the long run. These are particularly driven by media spin. The same is true of polls taken after party conventions.
  8. Talking to likely voters as opposed to all voter samples will provide better results.

Saturday, November 23, 2024

Thoughts on the US Election

 I decided to let the dust settle (somewhat anyway) before I expand on my thoughts with respect to the 2024 US Presidential election. Almost three weeks on and it looks as though the air is starting to clear (although for the love of G-d how long does it take to count votes in California?). So here goes:

1.The result was not a shock to me at all. In fact it was easy to predict if you tracked the Real Clear Politics (RCP) Polls Average. I got 49 out of the 50 states correct by taking the RCP average and adding 2% to Trump. As a rule of thumb this worked well in 2020 as well. The only state I missed on was Michigan as I thought Harris would sneak it once the Detroit voter dump came in. Takeaway - Always go with Poll averages. Never trust a single poll.
2.The Legacy media (with the sole exception of Fox) were in the tank for Harris and once again underestimated Trump’s support on the grassroots level I am looking at you Allan Lichtman). They typically deferred to their models and favored pollsters over an objective look at base level sentiments. Yes…the elites didn’t get it. Screwing the pooch once again.
3.The notion that the economy looks sound on paper is meaningless if this does not translate or align with the experience of your typical person, who has found their cost of living severely hampered by four years of high inflation. Soaring stock market prices (sorry armchair investors) aren’t a good indicator of the home front stranglehold hurting Mr. and Ms. Joe and Mary Average. Elites focus on this metric, to their predictive detriment.
4. Trump won on three issues that were germane to the majority of American voters A. The Cost of Living Problem B. A border and illegal immigration situation that appears to be out of control (Harris as border Czar was worse than a disaster) C. Biden’s and by extension Harris’ foreign policy FAIL that echo a declining US. The Democrats doubling down on Woke and DEI policies was also a losing issue for the Donks.
5. Suppression Polls such as the one posted by the Des Moines Register prior to the election were exposed for the ‘joke’ that they were. How an academic with a long established record of excellence (Ann Selzer) can attach her name to this is beyond. This was a tutorial on career implosion.
6. Trump increased his percentage votes won in every state of the Union. The voting gaps in Texas, Ohio and Florida increased in favor of the GOP. Those in California and New York saw significant Dem percentage drops.
7. Tim Walz added nothing to the Harris ticket. He came across as a bundling buffoon. Josh Shapiro may have secured Pennsylvania but I am not convinced he would have turned this election around in favor of Harris. She was intrinsically a poor candidate and a terrible speaker.
8.The hidden army of women angry about abortion (which has now become more of a state issue) did not materialize. This was another example of more wishful thinking by the legacy media.
9. Trump won the White vote and narrowly lost the Latino vote to Harris. However the GOP is surging with the latter and could well win it in a future election. Falling percentage numbers with the African-American votes (especially among Black males) is a growing concern for Democrats.
10. Once again Barack Obama could not use his personal appeal to resurrect a Candidate. He failed with HRC and was even less successful with Kamala Harris.
11. I am not convinced the Democrats would have done better with Joe Biden at all (Trump would probably have won close to 400 electoral college votes in my opinion). However the party faithful need to take a close look as to how their nomination process was hijacked by its elites. Kamala Harris was parachuted into a position that she was clearly not deserving of by a stench that echoes a coup. For a party that claims to champion democracy the hypocrisy here was on full view.
12. Kamala Harris failed as well as she could not relate to many Americans. Yes she ticked off several intersectional boxes but performed poorly on interviews, talked with garbled language and vacillated in her message. She ran initially with the vacuous sentiment of joy and positivity and then pivoted dramatically to the ’Trump is a Fascist’ negativity trope when her numbers started plummeting. This exuded desperation. At the end of the day a significant number of swing voters did not believe that she had shaken off her far left voting record in the Senate.
13. The Dems need to get their act together for the next election. They have to abandon Intersectional Identity politics and talk to the voters (especially working Americans) in a way that is not condescending and elitist. Will they do this? I doubt it. Their current rhetoric is still focused on blaming the voter.
14. The GOP has control of both the House and the Senate. The majority in the former is still very close but they have added leeway in the Upper House. The next two years must be filled with necessary legislation and decisive leadership that actively turns America around from the moribund status that it has found itself under four years of the Biden administration.
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Sunday, November 17, 2024

Reflections XII - Distlling reality

By forcing large segments of the population into poverty the growth of the state and the required dependency by so many on it, is ensured. The vote base is captured.

In and of itself discrimination isn’t essentially a bad idea. It depends on the nuances of the discrimination. Noxious ideologies and policies should indeed be relegated to the historical scrap heap.

A corrupt society will create legions of incompetents. It is these incompetents who sustain the hierarchy by not questioning the controllers at the top. They cannot afford to do so.

 Every dictator is aware that humans are social animals. Therefore they use their power to ostracize and isolate their opponents frequently.

A quick Quora Question that I answered

Sunday, October 27, 2024

Overcoming Adversity

 

Special Thanks to the Stoics, Friederich Nietzsche and several other Western and Judeo-Christian thinkers.

·       Life is tough. This world was not custom designed for any individual specifically. We will all face many obstacles on both the objective and subjective level.

·       Challenges will vary in degree and many will be faced with severe adversity.

·       One needs to accept that life is a struggle but this should not weaken us. In fact we should embrace the downfalls.

·       Human beings can train themselves to face these challenges and overcome adversity. This isn’t easy but our species has been doing exactly this for millennia.

·       Running away and avoiding these obstacles or blaming others for our shortfalls weakens us. The tragedy of the modern human condition is that this has become the preferred route.

·       Alcohol and recreational drugs are means of running away. They are negative drivers. So are support groups that specifically sacrifice individuality for the collective will.

·       In facing adversity head on we grow as human beings. This betters us in the face of future events that will impact us later on in life. We will emerge as a stronger self. Nietzsche sees this as the birth of the Superman.

Thursday, October 24, 2024

My Many Interests

 I am very much of a generalist with a strong passion for history, science, philosophy, education, psychology, political science, civuilization decline, education, soccer, comics, motivation strategies plus others. Over the next few weeks I plan to delve further into these areas outlining the specifics of each topic that I have chosen to focus on.

For now here is the list of these personal favourites (not in any order)

1. British History

2. Jewish History

3. American History

4. South African History

5. World War Two

6. The Cold War

7. Ancient History

8. European History

9. Physics Education

10. Understanding the human condition

11. Intelligence Measurement

12. Patterns of Population Movement

13 Jewish Thought

14. Philosophical Debates

15. Dystopias

16. Britsh comics

17. Soccer

18. Political Theory

19. Debunking Conspiracies

20. Parenthood

21. Sporting Feats





Saturday, October 19, 2024

Reflections XI - Elitist Malfeasance

A wealth tax is a particular moral evil in that one is further burdening those in the population who are in the best position to create further societal wealth growth.

Most political rhetoric is at most two steps removed from egregious failure for it driven by short terming thinking that stumbles at the earliest roadblock.

It is not difficult to generate bad ideas which, is why they proliferate in the global milieu.

Collectivisms eventual aim is to create an equality of nothings. In this regard it is remarkably effective.

 Western Society is in decline as it undervalued its greatest resource – the sanctity of its own population.

 The elites need an army of foot soldiers to fight against their greatest enemy – the working and middle class. If the numbers are not there they will build the regiments with imports

Monday, October 14, 2024

Excellent video and Commentary on Simcha Jacobovici video

 I saw this on the Simcha Jacobovici video in the comments section. the clip can be found at Facts you need to know.

A crash course on history : 1. Before Israel, there was a British mandate, not a Palestinian state 2. Before the British Mandate, there was the Ottoman Empire, not a Palestinian state. 3. Before the Ottoman Empire, there was the Islamic state of the Mamluks of Egypt, not a Palestinian state. 4. Before the Islamic state of the Mamluks of Egypt, there was the Ayubid Arab-Kurdish Empire, not a Palestinian state. 5. Before the Ayubid Empire, there was the Frankish and Christian Kingdom of Jerusalem, not a Palestinian state. 6. Before the Kingdom of Jerusalem, there was the Umayyad and Fatimid empires, not a Palestinian state. 7. Before the Umayyad and Fatimid empires, there was the Byzantine empire, not a Palestinian state. 8. Before the Byzantine Empire, there were the Sassanids, not a Palestinian state. 9. Before the Sassanid Empire, there was the Byzantine Empire, not a Palestinian state. 10. Before the Byzantine Empire, there was the Roman Empire, not a Palestinian state. 11. Before the Roman Empire, there was the Hasmonean state, not a Palestinian state. 12. Before the Hasmonean state, there was the Seleucid, not a Palestinian state. 13. Before the Seleucid empire, there was the empire of Alexander the Great, not a Palestinian state. 14. Before the empire of Alexander the Great, there was the Persian empire, not a Palestinian state. 15. Before the Persian Empire, there was the Babylonian Empire, not a Palestinian state. 16. Before the Babylonian Empire, there were the Kingdoms of Israel and Judah, not a Palestinian state. 17. Before the Kingdoms of Israel and Judah, there was the Kingdom of Israel, not a Palestinian state. 18. Before the kingdom of Israel, there was the theocracy of the twelve tribes of Israel, not a Palestinian state. 19. Before the theocracy of the twelve tribes of Israel, there was an agglomeration of independent Canaanite city-kingdoms, not a Palestinian state. 20. Actually, in this piece of land there has been everything, EXCEPT A PALESTINIAN STATE.


Sunday, October 13, 2024

Reflections X - Careful Ponderings

You hop, skip and jump into totalitarianism by convincing yourself that you are on the right side of history.

We have reached a point in the west where those with a self constructed sense of guilt are doing what the winners once did, in rewriting history. Their approach is no less dishonest.

The sad reality of war is that it is sometimes the only mechanism to purge society of really destructive ideas.

Unearned wealth is easy to squander which implies that a great deal of priority must be given to new and sustainable avenues of wealth creation.

The great economic lie sold to the populace is that wealth creation and distribution are synonymous.

Saturday, October 5, 2024

Reflections IX - On World History

The British Empire was destined for an eventual fission. The island core was enveloped by too many shells that reached maturation quickly. Although the layers were sloughed off in various degrees they could never truly divorce themselves from their source origin.

Most of Rome’s military failures were reminders that it needed to accept its boundaries. Neither the Goths in the North (and East) and the Persians in Asia had any attention of acquiescing to Roman suzerainty. Since they were not a cavalry power (unlike the Mongols) or a sea empire (like the British) their boundaries had natural limitations which deterred expansion.

The history of Rome after the fall of Caesar is an ongoing saga of the debasement of the concept of citizenship. Citizenship is what held the Republic together. It withered to oblivion during the Empire until it had lost all meaning.

Next to its education and judiciary system, cricket must rank as Britain’s greatest export to its Empire (to the world it is football). Many an Indian, Pakistani or Sri Lankan will agree with this assessment as they sport has so thoroughly enveloped the sub-continent.

Friday, October 4, 2024

Reflections VIII - Human pitfalls

Communists have always hated humour. Their poor understanding of human nature opens up the barbs of the satire so that any reasonable person can see that what they are seriously selling is a parody of itself.

Too many people deny themselves real knowledge by imprisoning themselves in a pre-established narrative.

Being open minded does not necessitate the dropping of critical thought. There is no limit to the amount of stupidity that needs to be filtered out.

Not all opinions are created equal. Most (although by no means all) will in due course be damned by the brutal reality of time. Unfortunately the selection process does not necessarily bias itself in favour of the good.

In a battle of reason and emotion most people will opt for the latter.

Saturday, September 28, 2024

Reflections VII - Much needed cynicism

Any radical ideology will in time purge itself based on the notion of doctrinal purity.

Almost as predictable as death and taxes is the certainty of self serving action for human beings.

We have come to a time where the leadership is destroying democracy while at the same time claiming to save it. You can indeed vote yourself into slavery.

No field perhaps has a proportion of snake oil salesmen than that of education which has littering it one failed policy after another, with each one having the distinction at the time of being vaunted as a pedagogical panacea.

Saturday, September 21, 2024

Reflections VI - More from the Abyss

If highly motivated one can even rationalize away the very evidence before our eyes.

One needs to ponder as to why so many powerful deities lack the foresight to avoid contradicting themselves in their revealed texts.

Bad ideas need not have to work that only have to create the appearance of working which is why they are often taken up by the masses.

 Prosperous societies with an inordinate amount of spare time on hand will use that time to find new innovate ways of destroying themselves.

 The myth propounded is that the majority of humanity resents totalitarianism. The reality is that they embrace it as it makes decision making so much easier.

 The greatest impediment to any would be politician is a conscious

Sunday, September 15, 2024

Reflection V - Human Foibles

One only realizes how timid humanity is when you choose to take a singular stand against a universally acknowledged but popular bad idea.

Toleration in and of itself is not a virtue. In fact it can often be a vice. The distinction is highly context dependent. The worship of toleration in and of itself is an error both philosophically and ultimately morally.

 History cannot be reduced to a series of equations for it is the story of humanity, whose actions are often unpredictable and illogical.

 There is a natural tendency for humans to minimize their work and thought load which is why complex concepts are likely to be oversimplified to the point of being unintelligible.

 To a fool, everything they don’t want to believe in is a lie for a fool is one hundred percent committed to their own truth.

 It astounds me as to how many people feel that they know how G-d works when in reality they are just hedging their bets on different guesses.

 

Saturday, September 14, 2024

Reflections IV - Disturbing Observations

 I am not sure if there is any other creature on this planet who can rationalize evil into good.

 At any time one should be aware of a single daunting caveat – that it is entirely possible that you could be wrong.

 Wake me up when those in the scientific elite stop acting like priests and more like objective investigators of natural phenomena.

 There is no more ill defined political term than democracy. People seem to make of it what they want.

 

Sunday, September 8, 2024

Reflections III - Bad Ideas

Bad ideas can only be enforced in the long term by tyranny. Therefore at the center of every tyranny is an idealism that is inherently rancid.

 An Ivy League education at its heart offers its recipient the ability to put forward a stupid idea with an air of superiority.

There is no greater marketing device than the notion of fear. It goes straight to our emotional brain while bypassing all critical thought.

 I have yet to encounter a greater leap of faith than the argument put forth by many that something can come from nothing.

 If the internet has taught me anything it is that bad ideas grow exponentially while those in the good are constrained to the linear.


Saturday, September 7, 2024

Reflections II - American History

 Bill Clinton was the last genuine liberal Democratic Party President of the United. He balanced fiscal conservatism, with a pragmatic social liberalism that was described as the Third Way. In doing so held back the radicalism of the progressives delaying it by a full decade until the Obama Presidency. This was his greatest achievement that supersedes the multiple flaws in his personal character.

If Al Gore would have talked to the people instead of down to them he would have been the 43rd President in the United States. Unfortunately for him it wasn’t in his DNA and no matter how much he tried the more so it became apparent. Gore felt that the country needed a philosopher king forgetting that the nation was built on a disdain of any type of monarchy.

Clinton lived a charmed life in that he was destined to lead the nation during a time of relative political solitude. This afforded him the luxury of underestimating both the demise of the Soviet Union and its Russian offspring as well as the rise of Islamism.

Every US Administration since Richard Nixon (with the possible exception of Donald Trump) has worked tirelessly with short-sighted traded policies to transform China into an economic superpower.

The tragedy of the United States is that the very elements of tolerance and respect for freedom of thought and action will eventually be used to destroy it.

I have never understood why Americans from both sides require inspiration from so obvious a tainted figure as a politician. The absurdity of elevating these debauched souls to spiritual or emotional heights of standing can only lead to eventual disappointment as it frequently does.

Both George Washington and John Adams demonstrated great characters traits by their personal actions. Washington saw to it that the Presidency didn’t evolve into a monarchy while Adams, in his defence of the soldiers involved in the Boston Massacre, made the pertinent case that the accused deserves the best defence possible regardless of public opinion. In doing so they alternatively laid the bedrock for the executive and the judiciary.


Sunday, September 1, 2024

Reflections I - Politics

Some thoughts...

When key institutions become compromised so that nepotism and favoritism dominates over competency then the onset for civilization decline  and possible collapse follow shortly. No system no matter how strong its original foundations are can survive continuous governance by those who are inept and malevolent.

The communist seeks to restructure society on the backbone of ignorance. However this is a particular kind of stupidity - One that brings together an untried idealism with an inability to questions starting assumptions. Self Reflection is eschewed as a toxicity.

The strategy of any political campaign is to capture the vote by emphasizing the insignificant.  Complexity of policy is anathema to any campaign which is why it is rarely addressed by the candidates.

 There are only half truths and lies in political rhetoric. The challenge of a voter is to separate the one from the other.

 The primary function of the state is to grow itself. This is often at odds with the need to enact meaningful policy that will address an issue. An extended bureaucracy serves the former while creating an illusion of necessary progress.

 Within time every government moves towards fascism for all are controlled by elites who survive off either private or public corporations.


Tuesday, August 20, 2024

Answering more Questions on Quora

Can you provide examples of Napoleon using a blitzkrieg strategy in his conquests, similar to Germany during World War II?

Napoleon didn’t use a blitzkrieg strategy as mechanized forces weren’t a factor in the late 18th and early 19th centuries. There were no planes, tanks or automobiles. He did however make effective use of his artillery (his personal bastion of strength…..Boney was a gunner), cavalry and infantry to pick off his allied opponents one at a time. Napoleon was also adept at selecting the time and place for a fight and greatly rewarded meritocracy and loyalty in his ranks thereby ensuring that his troops were suffused with the necessary morale.

Is Russia still considered a major power or is it now more accurately described as an important regional power?

It is a regional power with significant global meddling capabilities that it exercises particularly in the Middle East through its Iranian and Syrian allies. It also has a propaganda apparatus that serves to shape public opinion in the West, courtesy of its relentless disinformation campaigns and infiltration of various institutions. If you thought this all ended with the finality of the Cold War you are mistaken. Old habits die hard.

Why is Russia such a violent and destructive nation?

Russia (in its various forms) has a leadership history consisting of a lineage of strongmen who measure their success by their ability to grow their territory. Putin is just one more character in a legacy that predates Peter the Great. This translates into a history of aggression. Much of the policy sale to the population is driven by a sense of perceived victimhood.

Do any modern conservatives identify as "classical" liberals?

I personally do as I wish to conserve the very successful authentic liberal tradition in the West against the forces of fascism, dialectical materialism, islamism and progressive statism. Each of which threatens the pillars of freedom viz. speech, worship, thought and property that is central to liberal thinking.

Thursday, August 8, 2024

Protecting Western Civilization

 

  1. It is incumbent on us all to protect the numerous advances made by Western Civilization over the last three and a half thousand years.
  2. These advances include: the foundation and synthesis of reason and logic, open debate and freedom of speech, the rule of law, private ownership of property, democratic government, efficient utilization of the benefits of science and technology and an appreciation for the history and thought that underpins the civilization. These will henceforth be known as the Advancements.
  3. Inherent in these ideals is a common good that respects and rejoices in the preservation of human life and seeks to maximize our species’ potential within the respective context.
  4. Much of the greatness of Western Civilization has been cultivated from within. This is to be celebrated not chided.
  5. It is critical to the overall well being of the world that the leaders of the West do not abdicate their roles as defenders of the Advancements.
  6. The history of Western Civilization plays out in the context of a survival against the face of threats both internal and external. Driven by powerful impetus toward betterment the West has emerged as an active agent in the dynamic framework of human history and in so doing tells a story replete with characters, institutions, agents and states all acting against the back drop of the broadest of flourishing landscapes.
  7.      The Western World will not die in one instant of explosive output but will wither into oblivion. This decline was set in motion as a consequence of the Great War and the subsequent malevolence of our hubris and  has gained more momentum with each succeeding decade.
  8.  The outcome of this slide into a historical abyss will have negative repercussions for all of humanity. Each moment of decay draws us closer to a coming dark age. Despair will engulf most but that need not be all
  9.   While it is true that the West has built on some ideas that may have had their genesis in the monoliths of China, India and the Near East – it is western ingenuity that has provided the wherewithal to advance these initiatives forward and so improve the human condition. Suffice it to say the West serves as the guardian of these great ideas whose preservation is essential to the maintenance of global civilization.

Monday, July 15, 2024

10 Take aways from the Trump Assassination Attempt

1. Donald Trump was extremely lucky. A few centimeters left and it could have been game over for the former President.

2. Two big questions need to be answered: a) How was the gunman able to position himself so close to Trump? b) Why did the police drones not pick him up?

3. Even more important....A  'few centimeters' is what saved not only Trump but the nation from a full on violent flare up.

4. Trump showed tremenendous Bravado. The picture of him, with fist in the air, rising from the ground will become an iconic image in American history.

5. The extreme rhetoric generated by Trump haters in the media and elsewhere likely motivated the gunman to act. For now his full motive remains unclear.

6. Trump will receive a natural boost in the polls but I am not so sure this will continue until November. The Dem aligned media will do their best to shift focus elsewhere...likely to the strawman Project 2025 issue.

7. The 'staged' conspiracy theory breaks down rather rapidly under any modicum of critical thought. The same is true of the 'CIA did it' notion.

8. Security protection around both Messrs Trump and RFK Jr needs to be upped.

9. Joe Biden, to his credit, looked somewhat presidential in renouncing the violence.

10. Trump needs to continue building on his momentum. The dismissal of the stored reccords case in Florida will help as was his popular pick for VP (J D Vance)


Who is gaining the upper hand in world politics - the US or Russia?

 My answer on Quora.

The US has the upper hand for now. How long this will continue is uncertain. It has a substantially larger economy than Russia and a greater global presence on a military level (750 bases plus in 80 countries or so). In addition the US dollar still remains as the predominant world currency (buoyed for now by petrodollars).

Russia on the other hand has been hit hard by sanctions, is navigating an extremely costly war with the Ukraine and is in an uncertain population decline. It has its allies within the BRICS grouping to fall back onto but even in this regard it is playing second fiddle to both China and an emerging India (who took Russia to the cleaners for cheap oil following the Ukrainian invasion).

Did France lose every war they fought over the last hundred years?

(My answer in Quora)

No, the Free French with immense Allied support emerged on the victorious side of WWII. France give or take some hair raising moments was also on the right side of the winning divide during the Cold War. Having said that the French were humiliated in the 1950s in its struggle to maintain control of French Indochina (check out the Battle of Dien Bien Phu in 1954) and suffered defeat (somewhat self-inflicted) in the Algerian War (1954–1962). 

Nevertheless France did secure victory for Chadian forces in its war against Libya (1978–1987) and helped defeat Islamist insurgents in Mali (2013–2014) during Operation Serval. France in Alliance with Britain and Israel defeated the Egyptians tactically in the Suez Canal War (1956) but like its Allies was lulled into a strategic ‘defeated’ by the US who feared the broader ramifications of a direct war with the Soviet Union at the time.

Is Jill Biden another Edith Wilson?

 My answer on Quora

No. I think that she has less influence than many people give her credit for. Joe Biden, although suffering from obvious cerebral decline, clearly wants to stay in power himself. I am not convinced at all that he has lost agency in this regard. Edith Wilson played a large role in the day-to-day management of the country as her husband ailed. For Biden this role is largely being carried out by the team around him, many of whom are Barack Obama loyalists.

Thoughts on the British Election

 1. The vote was more of a referendum vote against the Tories as opposed to an endorsement of the Labour Party.

 2. Since they failed on several fronts including a strong stance dealing with the migration crisis, the fate of the Conservatives was essentially sealed and well deserved. 

 3. The splitting of the right of center vote between the Conservative and Reform Parties essentially amplified Labour's seat numbers. The latter earned well over half the seats in the Parliament (63.3%)  having only earned 33.7% of the vote.

4. The Reform party earned 13-14% of the popular vote but picked up only five seats (out of 650). If ever the parliamentary system is in need of some major work, now is the time.